© 2026 SportPremi. Originally published at sportpremi.com/betting-tips/aarhus-vs-benfica-prediction-2026-08-27. Data and analysis are owned by SportPremi.
© 2026 SportPremi. Originally published at sportpremi.com/betting-tips/aarhus-vs-benfica-prediction-2026-08-27. Data and analysis are owned by SportPremi.
Aarhus vs Benfica prediction and preview for Thursday, 27 August 2026, in the UEFA Europa League. Benfica won the first leg 3-1, giving them a 3-1 aggregate lead heading into the second leg. Our analysis points to Over 1.5 Goals as the best prediction for this match. Below, you will find detailed match analysis, recent form, head-to-head records, key stats, betting trends, predicted scorelines and other useful match information.

SportPremi Prediction
Prediction won · FT 1-3Pick
Over 1.5 Goals
Confidence
92%
Risk
Low
Odds
1.09
Recent goal-scoring trends favour Over 1.5 Goals in Aarhus vs Benfica, with our model rating the selection at 92% confidence.
Aarhus form: In their last 5 matches, Aarhus have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats, netting 7 and conceding 12. They beat Sabah FA 2-1, drew 2-2 with Odense and 2-2 with Lyngby, but lost 3-1 to Benfica and 4-0 to Sabah FA. That works out at an average of 3.8 total goals per game.
Benfica form: In their last 5 matches, Benfica have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats, netting 19 and conceding 5. They beat Aarhus 3-1, Casa Pia 7-0 and Heart Of Midlothian 6-1, drew 1-1 with Heart Of Midlothian and 2-2 with Academico Viseu. That works out at an average of 4.8 total goals per game.
Head-to-head: The head-to-head record reinforces the outlook. Their most recent meeting finished Benfica 3-1 Aarhus, while across their last 1 meeting, Benfica have won 1.
Key numbers: Across their recent games the two sides average 3.8 and 4.8 total goals per match. Aarhus have scored 7 goals and conceded 12 across their last 5 matches; Benfica have scored 19 and conceded 5 across their last 5.
Verdict: The recent form, goal averages and head-to-head results all point towards an open, goal-filled game. On balance, Over 1.5 Goals is the most convincing option here.
Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals at 92% confidence.
Prediction based on form, head-to-head and statistical analysis. It is not a guarantee.
Recent results and performance summary for both teams.
0
Aarhus wins
0
Draws
1
Benfica wins
Last meeting: Benfica 3-1 Aarhus · 2026
Betting outcomes from both teams’ last 5 matches.
Aarhus
Last 5 MatchesBenfica
Last 5 Matches5/5 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals
(Matches with 2+ goals)
5/5 (100%)
4/5 (80%)
BTTS
Based on our statistical goal model.
Best Pick
Over 1.5 Goals
Model Confidence
92%
Aarhus and Benfica have combined for 4.3 goals per game across their last five matches. Our model rates Over 1.5 Goals at 92% confidence. This is our highest-confidence prediction for the fixture.
Our recommended prediction is Over 1.5 Goals, which SportPremi's model rates at 92% confidence based on recent form and goal data, including head-to-head record.
Benfica have the stronger win case based on their recent results. They have won 3 of their last 5 matches, compared with 1 win for Aarhus. They have also won 1 of the last 1 meetings between the teams.
The match is scheduled to kick off at 19:00 on Thursday, 27 August 2026.
This fixture is played in the UEFA Europa League, World.
Prediction based on form, H2H and stats. Analysis, not a guarantee. 18+ | Gamble Responsibly.
Premier League
1
Wins
7
Goals Scored
12
Goals Conceded
(Both Teams To Score)
4/5 (80%)
5/5 (100%)
Failed to Keep Clean Sheet
(Conceded 1+ goal)
4/5 (80%)
1/5 (20%)
Wins
(Matches won)
3/5 (60%)
12
in last 5
Goals Conceded
(Total)
5
in last 5
What this means
Both Aarhus and Benfica have seen Over 1.5 goals in most of their recent matches, with the trend showing in 5 and 5 of their last 5 games respectively. Neither defence has looked settled either, with clean sheets missed in 5 and 4 of their last 5 matches respectively.
Based on each team’s last 5 completed matches in all competitions.
Based on recent form, head-to-head and our statistical goal model.
Based on their last 5 matches, Benfica have the stronger record, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats, scoring 19 and conceding 5. That compares with Aarhus, who have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 12.
No. Every tip is a statistics-based prediction to inform your own decision, not a guarantee. Always gamble responsibly. 18+
You can follow live scores, match events, statistics and the full-time result on the SportPremi match page before, during and after kick-off.