© 2026 SportPremi. Originally published at sportpremi.com/betting-tips/as-roma-vs-fiorentina-prediction-2026-08-24. Data and analysis are owned by SportPremi.
© 2026 SportPremi. Originally published at sportpremi.com/betting-tips/as-roma-vs-fiorentina-prediction-2026-08-24. Data and analysis are owned by SportPremi.
AS Roma vs Fiorentina prediction and preview for Monday, 24 August 2026, in the Serie A. Our analysis points to Over 1.5 Goals as the best prediction for this match. Below, you will find detailed match analysis, recent form, head-to-head records, key stats, betting trends, predicted scorelines and other useful match information.

SportPremi Prediction
Prediction won · FT 4-0Pick
Over 1.5 Goals
Confidence
88%
Risk
Low
Odds
1.14
Recent goal-scoring trends favour Over 1.5 Goals in AS Roma vs Fiorentina, with our model rating the selection at 88% confidence.
AS Roma form: AS Roma have recorded 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 goals and conceding 13. They beat Newport County 4-1, drew 2-2 with Borussia Dortmund and 3-3 with Cannes, but lost 3-0 to Brighton and 4-1 to Cardiff. That works out at an average of 4.6 total goals per game.
Fiorentina form: Fiorentina have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 goals and conceding 6. They beat Watford 1-0 and Gubbio 1-0, drew 1-1 with Deportivo La Coruna and 2-2 with Real Madrid, but lost 3-2 to QPR. Those games have averaged 2.6 total goals per match.
Head-to-head: Past meetings point in the same direction. Their most recent meeting finished AS Roma 4-0 Fiorentina, while across the last 5 meetings, AS Roma have won 3, Fiorentina have won 1 and 1 match ended in a draw.
Key numbers: Across their recent games the two sides average 4.6 and 2.6 total goals per match. AS Roma have scored 10 goals and conceded 13 across their last 5 matches; Fiorentina have scored 7 and conceded 6 across their last 5.
Verdict: The recent form, goal averages and head-to-head results all point towards both teams contributing to the scoreline. On balance, Over 1.5 Goals is the most convincing option here.
Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals at 88% confidence.
Prediction based on form, head-to-head and statistical analysis. It is not a guarantee.
Recent results and performance summary for both teams.
5
AS Roma wins
2
Draws
3
Fiorentina wins
Last meeting: AS Roma 4-0 Fiorentina · 2026
Betting outcomes from both teams’ last 5 matches.
AS Roma
Last 5 MatchesFiorentina
Last 5 Matches5/5 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals
(Matches with 2+ goals)
3/5 (60%)
4/5 (80%)
BTTS
Based on our statistical goal model.
Best Pick
Over 1.5 Goals
Model Confidence
88%
AS Roma and Fiorentina have combined for 3.6 goals per game across their last five matches. 9 of their last 10 meetings produced at least two goals. Our model rates Over 1.5 Goals at 88% confidence. These numbers make Over 1.5 Goals our preferred selection.
Our recommended prediction is Over 1.5 Goals, which SportPremi's model rates at 88% confidence based on recent form and goal data, including head-to-head record.
Fiorentina have the stronger win case based on their recent results. They have won 2 of their last 5 matches, compared with 1 win for AS Roma.
The match is scheduled to kick off at 19:45 on Monday, 24 August 2026.
This fixture is played in the Serie A, Italy.
Prediction based on form, H2H and stats. Analysis, not a guarantee. 18+ | Gamble Responsibly.
Premier League
1
Wins
10
Goals Scored
13
Goals Conceded
Fiorentina
2
Wins
7
Goals Scored
6
Goals Conceded
(Both Teams To Score)
3/5 (60%)
5/5 (100%)
Failed to Keep Clean Sheet
(Conceded 1+ goal)
3/5 (60%)
1/5 (20%)
Wins
(Matches won)
2/5 (40%)
13
in last 5
Goals Conceded
(Total)
6
in last 5
What this means
AS Roma have seen Over 1.5 goals in all 5 of their last 5 matches, while Fiorentina have done the same in 3 of their last 5. AS Roma have also failed to keep a clean sheet in all 5 of their last 5 matches.
Based on each team’s last 5 completed matches in all competitions.
Based on recent form, head-to-head and our statistical goal model.
Based on their last 5 matches, Fiorentina have the stronger record, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 7 and conceding 6. That compares with AS Roma, who have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 10 and conceding 13.
No. Every tip is a statistics-based prediction to inform your own decision, not a guarantee. Always gamble responsibly. 18+
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