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Benfica vs Aarhus prediction and preview for Thursday, 20 August 2026, in the UEFA Europa League. Our analysis points to Over 1.5 Goals as the best prediction for this match. Below, you will find detailed match analysis, recent form, head-to-head records, key stats, betting trends, predicted scorelines and other useful match information.
SportPremi Prediction
Prediction won · FT 3-1Pick
Over 1.5 Goals
Confidence
90%
Risk
Low
Odds
1.11
Benfica have produced two or more goals in all 5 of their last 5 matches, while Aarhus have done so in all 5 of their last 5 matches. The two sides have averaged 3.8 total goals per game across those matches, which supports Over 1.5 Goals, which our model rates at 90% confidence.
Benfica form: In their last 5 matches, Benfica have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, netting 15 and conceding 6. They beat FC ST. Gallen 5-0, CF Os Belenenses 5-1 and Estoril 3-1, but lost 2-1 to FC ST. Gallen and 2-1 to Flamengo. That works out at an average of 4.2 total goals per game.
Aarhus form: Aarhus come in with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 matches, having scored 9 and conceded 8. They beat Sabah FA 2-1 and Lech Poznan 3-0, drew 2-2 with Lyngby and 1-1 with Brondby, but lost 4-1 to Lech Poznan. Those games have averaged 3.4 total goals per match.
Head-to-head: No reliable recent head-to-head data is available for this fixture.
Verdict: The recent form and goal averages point towards both teams contributing to the scoreline. On balance, Over 1.5 Goals is the most convincing option here.
Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals at 90% confidence.
Prediction based on form and statistical analysis. It is not a guarantee.
Recent results and performance summary for both teams.
Betting outcomes from both teams’ last 5 matches.
Benfica
Last 5 MatchesAarhus
Last 5 Matches5/5 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals
(Matches with 2+ goals)
5/5 (100%)
4/5 (80%)
BTTS
Based on our statistical goal model.
Best Pick
Over 1.5 Goals
Model Confidence
90%
Benfica and Aarhus have combined for 3.8 goals per game across their last five matches. Our model rates Over 1.5 Goals at 90% confidence. These numbers make Over 1.5 Goals our preferred selection.
Our recommended prediction is Over 1.5 Goals, which SportPremi's model rates at 90% confidence based on recent form and goal data.
Benfica have the stronger win case based on their recent results. They have won 3 of their last 5 matches, compared with 2 wins for Aarhus.
The match is scheduled to kick off at 20:00 on Thursday, 20 August 2026.
This fixture is played in the UEFA Europa League, World.
Prediction based on form, H2H and stats. Analysis, not a guarantee. 18+ | Gamble Responsibly.
Premier League
3
Wins
15
Goals Scored
6
Goals Conceded
Aarhus
2 - 1
Sabah FAW
2 - 2AarhusD
0 - 3AarhusW1 - 1
BrondbyD1 - 4Lech PoznanL2
Wins
9
Goals Scored
8
Goals Conceded
(Both Teams To Score)
4/5 (80%)
4/5 (80%)
Failed to Keep Clean Sheet
(Conceded 1+ goal)
4/5 (80%)
3/5 (60%)
Wins
(Matches won)
2/5 (40%)
6
in last 5
Goals Conceded
(Total)
8
in last 5
What this means
Both Benfica and Aarhus have seen Over 1.5 goals in most of their recent matches, with the trend showing in 5 and 5 of their last 5 games respectively. Goals have also come at both ends, with both teams scoring in 4 and 4 of their last 5 matches respectively.
Based on each team’s last 5 completed matches in all competitions.
Based on recent form and our statistical goal model.
Based on their last 5 matches, Benfica have the stronger record, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 15 and conceding 6. That compares with Aarhus, who have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 9 and conceding 8.
No. Every tip is a statistics-based prediction to inform your own decision, not a guarantee. Always gamble responsibly. 18+
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