© 2026 SportPremi. Originally published at sportpremi.com/betting-tips/genoa-vs-napoli-prediction-2026-08-22. Data and analysis are owned by SportPremi.
© 2026 SportPremi. Originally published at sportpremi.com/betting-tips/genoa-vs-napoli-prediction-2026-08-22. Data and analysis are owned by SportPremi.
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Genoa vs Napoli prediction and preview for Saturday, 22 August 2026, in the Serie A. Our analysis points to Over 1.5 Goals as the best prediction for this match. Below, you will find detailed match analysis, recent form, head-to-head records, key stats, betting trends, predicted scorelines and other useful match information.

SportPremi Prediction
Prediction won · FT 0-2Pick
Over 1.5 Goals
Confidence
56%
Risk
High
Odds
1.79
Recent form and goal trends favour Over 1.5 Goals for Genoa vs Napoli, with our model rating the selection at 56% confidence.
Genoa form: Genoa have recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 1 goal and conceding 5. They drew 0-0 with Fiorentina and 0-0 with Atalanta, but lost 1-0 to Lecce, 2-1 to AC Milan and 2-0 to Como. That works out at an average of 1.2 total goals per game.
Napoli form: Napoli come in with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 matches, having scored 9 and conceded 4. They beat Osasuna 2-1, Carrarese 2-0, Udinese 1-0 and Pisa 3-0, but lost 3-1 to Arezzo. Those games have averaged 2.6 total goals per match.
Head-to-head: The head-to-head record reinforces the outlook. Their most recent meeting finished Genoa 2-3 Napoli, while across the last 5 meetings, Napoli have won 3 and 2 ended in draws.
Key numbers: Across their recent games the two sides average 1.2 and 2.6 total goals per match. Genoa have scored 1 goals and conceded 5 across their last 5 matches; Napoli have scored 9 and conceded 4 across their last 5.
Verdict: The recent form and goal averages point towards an open, goal-filled game. On balance, Over 1.5 Goals is the most convincing option here.
Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals at 56% confidence.
Prediction based on form, head-to-head and statistical analysis. It is not a guarantee.
Recent results and performance summary for both teams.
1
Genoa wins
3
Draws
5
Napoli wins
Last meeting: Genoa 2-3 Napoli · 2026
Betting outcomes from both teams’ last 5 matches.
Genoa
Last 5 MatchesNapoli
Last 5 Matches2/5 (40%)
Over 1.5 Goals
(Matches with 2+ goals)
4/5 (80%)
1/5 (20%)
BTTS
Based on our statistical goal model.
Best Pick
Over 1.5 Goals
Model Confidence
56%
Genoa and Napoli have combined for 1.9 goals per game across their last five matches. 9 of their last 9 meetings produced at least two goals. Our model rates Over 1.5 Goals at 56% confidence. These numbers make Over 1.5 Goals our preferred selection.
Our recommended prediction is Over 1.5 Goals, which SportPremi's model rates at 56% confidence based on recent form and goal data, including head-to-head record.
Napoli have the stronger win case based on their recent results. They have won 4 of their last 5 matches, compared with 0 wins for Genoa. They have also won 5 of the last 9 meetings between the teams.
The match is scheduled to kick off at 19:45 on Saturday, 22 August 2026.
This fixture is played in the Serie A, Italy.
Prediction based on form, H2H and stats. Analysis, not a guarantee. 18+ | Gamble Responsibly.
Premier League
0
Wins
1
Goals Scored
5
Goals Conceded
Napoli
4
Wins
9
Goals Scored
4
Goals Conceded
(Both Teams To Score)
2/5 (40%)
3/5 (60%)
Failed to Keep Clean Sheet
(Conceded 1+ goal)
2/5 (40%)
0/5 (0%)
Wins
(Matches won)
4/5 (80%)
5
in last 5
Goals Conceded
(Total)
4
in last 5
What this means
Napoli have seen Over 1.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 matches. Napoli have also won 4 of their last 5 matches.
Based on each team’s last 5 completed matches in all competitions.
Based on recent form, head-to-head and our statistical goal model.
Based on their last 5 matches, Napoli have the stronger record, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 9 and conceding 4. That compares with Genoa, who have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 1 and conceding 5.
No. Every tip is a statistics-based prediction to inform your own decision, not a guarantee. Always gamble responsibly. 18+
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