© 2026 SportPremi. Originally published at sportpremi.com/betting-tips/nice-vs-lorient-prediction-2026-08-22. Data and analysis are owned by SportPremi.
© 2026 SportPremi. Originally published at sportpremi.com/betting-tips/nice-vs-lorient-prediction-2026-08-22. Data and analysis are owned by SportPremi.
Full time
Nice vs Lorient prediction and preview for Saturday, 22 August 2026, in the Ligue 1. Our analysis points to Over 1.5 Goals as the best prediction for this match. Below, you will find detailed match analysis, recent form, head-to-head records, key stats, betting trends, predicted scorelines and other useful match information.

SportPremi Prediction
Prediction lost · FT 0-0Pick
Over 1.5 Goals
Confidence
81%
Risk
Medium
Odds
1.23
Nice have produced two or more goals in 3 of their last 5 matches, while Lorient have done so in all 5 of their last 5 matches. The two sides have averaged 3.0 total goals per game across those matches, which supports Over 1.5 Goals, which our model rates at 81% confidence.
Nice form: Nice have recorded 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 goals and conceding 6. They beat Saint Etienne 4-1, drew 0-0 with Saint Etienne and 0-0 with Metz, but lost 3-1 to Lens and 2-1 to Auxerre. That works out at an average of 2.4 total goals per game.
Lorient form: Lorient come in with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from their last 5 matches, having scored 10 and conceded 8. They beat Concarneau 2-1 and Metz 4-0, drew 2-2 with Paris Saint Germain, but lost 2-0 to Le Havre and 3-2 to Strasbourg. That works out at an average of 3.6 total goals per game.
Head-to-head: Previous encounters add further weight to the selection. Their most recent meeting finished Lorient 0-0 Nice, while across the last 5 meetings, Nice have won 1, Lorient have won 1 and 3 ended in draws.
Verdict: Taken together, the recent results and goal numbers support both teams contributing to the scoreline. On balance, Over 1.5 Goals is the most convincing option here.
Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals at 81% confidence.
Prediction based on form, head-to-head and statistical analysis. It is not a guarantee.
Recent results and performance summary for both teams.
3
Nice wins
4
Draws
2
Lorient wins
Last meeting: Lorient 0-0 Nice · 2026
Betting outcomes from both teams’ last 5 matches.
Nice
Last 5 MatchesLorient
Last 5 Matches3/5 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals
(Matches with 2+ goals)
5/5 (100%)
3/5 (60%)
BTTS
Based on our statistical goal model.
Best Pick
Over 1.5 Goals
Model Confidence
81%
Nice and Lorient have combined for 3.0 goals per game across their last five matches. 7 of their last 9 meetings produced at least two goals. Our model rates Over 1.5 Goals at 81% confidence. Overall, Over 1.5 Goals looks the best-supported option for this game.
Our recommended prediction is Over 1.5 Goals, which SportPremi's model rates at 81% confidence based on recent form and goal data, including head-to-head record.
The model rates this as a closely matched fixture, with no clear favourite between Nice and Lorient.
The match is scheduled to kick off at 19:45 on Saturday, 22 August 2026.
This fixture is played in the Ligue 1, France.
Prediction based on form, H2H and stats. Analysis, not a guarantee. 18+ | Gamble Responsibly.
Premier League
1
Wins
6
Goals Scored
6
Goals Conceded
Lorient
2
Wins
10
Goals Scored
8
Goals Conceded
(Both Teams To Score)
3/5 (60%)
3/5 (60%)
Failed to Keep Clean Sheet
(Conceded 1+ goal)
4/5 (80%)
1/5 (20%)
Wins
(Matches won)
2/5 (40%)
6
in last 5
Goals Conceded
(Total)
8
in last 5
What this means
Lorient have seen Over 1.5 goals in all 5 of their last 5 matches, while Nice have done the same in 3 of their last 5. Lorient have also failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their last 5 matches.
Based on each team’s last 5 completed matches in all competitions.
Based on recent form, head-to-head and our statistical goal model.
Based on their last 5 matches, Lorient have the stronger record, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 10 and conceding 8. That compares with Nice, who have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 6 and conceding 6.
No. Every tip is a statistics-based prediction to inform your own decision, not a guarantee. Always gamble responsibly. 18+
You can follow live scores, match events, statistics and the full-time result on the SportPremi match page before, during and after kick-off.