© 2026 SportPremi. Originally published at sportpremi.com/betting-tips/pagham-vs-ascot-united-prediction-2026-09-08. Data and analysis are owned by SportPremi.
© 2026 SportPremi. Originally published at sportpremi.com/betting-tips/pagham-vs-ascot-united-prediction-2026-09-08. Data and analysis are owned by SportPremi.
Ahead of Pagham vs Ascot United in FA Cup on Tuesday, 8 September 2026, our analysis points to Over 1.5 Goals. Pagham last drew 1-1 with Ascot United, and Ascot United drew 1-1 with Pagham. Read on for the latest form, the head-to-head record, key match statistics, betting trends and SportPremi's predicted scoreline.

SportPremi Prediction
Pick
Over 1.5 Goals
Confidence
92%
Risk
Low
Odds
1.09
Pagham have produced two or more goals in all 5 of their last 5 matches, while Ascot United have done so in all 5 of their last 5 matches. The two sides have averaged 4.5 total goals per game across those matches, which supports the Over 1.5 Goals selection at 92% confidence.
Pagham form: Pagham come in with 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats from their last 5 matches, having scored 5 and conceded 18. They drew 1-1 with Ascot United, but lost 3-2 to Horsham YMCA, 6-2 to Erith Town, 4-0 to East Grinstead Town and 4-0 to Erith Town. Their matches have produced an average of 4.6 total goals per game.
Ascot United form: In their last 5 matches, Ascot United have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, netting 15 and conceding 7. They beat Margate 3-0, Raynes Park Vale 4-1 and Horndean 5-2, drew 1-1 with Pagham, but lost 3-2 to Metropolitan Police. Those games have averaged 4.4 total goals per match.
Head-to-head: Previous encounters add further weight to the selection. Their most recent meeting finished Ascot United 1-1 Pagham, while across their last 1 meeting, 1 match ended in a draw.
Verdict: Both teams have been involved in open, goal-heavy games lately, averaging 4.5 total goals between them, and neither defence has been keeping things tight. Those attacking and defensive patterns point to a goal-filled game, making Over 1.5 Goals the stronger call.
Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals at 92% confidence.
Prediction based on form, head-to-head and statistical analysis. It is not a guarantee.
Recent results and performance summary for both teams.
0
Pagham wins
1
Draws
0
Ascot United wins
Last meeting: Ascot United 1-1 Pagham · 2026
Betting outcomes from both teams’ last 5 matches.
Pagham
Last 5 MatchesAscot United
Last 5 Matches5/5 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals
(Matches with 2+ goals)
5/5 (100%)
3/5 (60%)
BTTS
Based on our statistical goal model.
Best Pick
Over 1.5 Goals
Model Confidence
92%
Pagham and Ascot United have combined for 4.5 goals per game across their last five matches. Our analysis rates Over 1.5 Goals at 92% confidence. These numbers make Over 1.5 Goals our preferred selection.
Our recommended prediction is Over 1.5 Goals, which SportPremi's analysis rates at 92% confidence based on recent form and goal data, including head-to-head record.
Ascot United have the stronger win case based on their recent results. They have won 3 of their last 5 matches, compared with 0 wins for Pagham.
The match is scheduled to kick off at 19:30 on Tuesday, 8 September 2026.
This fixture is played in FA Cup, England.
Prediction based on form, H2H and stats. Analysis, not a guarantee. 18+ | Gamble Responsibly.
Premier League
0
Wins
5
Goals Scored
18
Goals Conceded
Ascot United
3
Wins
15
Goals Scored
7
Goals Conceded
(Both Teams To Score)
4/5 (80%)
5/5 (100%)
Failed to Keep Clean Sheet
(Conceded 1+ goal)
4/5 (80%)
0/5 (0%)
Wins
(Matches won)
3/5 (60%)
18
in last 5
Goals Conceded
(Total)
7
in last 5
What this means
Both Pagham and Ascot United have seen Over 1.5 goals in most of their recent matches, with the trend showing in 5 and 5 of their last 5 games respectively. Neither defence has looked settled either, with clean sheets missed in 5 and 4 of their last 5 matches respectively.
Based on each team’s last 5 completed matches in all competitions.
Based on recent form, head-to-head and our statistical goal model.
Based on their last 5 matches, Ascot United have the stronger record, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 15 and conceding 7. That compares with Pagham, who have 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 18.
No. Every tip is a statistics-based prediction to inform your own decision, not a guarantee. Always gamble responsibly. 18+
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