© 2026 SportPremi. Originally published at sportpremi.com/betting-tips/sporting-cp-vs-alverca-prediction-2026-08-22. Data and analysis are owned by SportPremi.
© 2026 SportPremi. Originally published at sportpremi.com/betting-tips/sporting-cp-vs-alverca-prediction-2026-08-22. Data and analysis are owned by SportPremi.
Sporting CP vs Alverca prediction and preview for Saturday, 22 August 2026, in the Primeira Liga. Our analysis points to Over 1.5 Goals as the best prediction for this match. Below, you will find detailed match analysis, recent form, head-to-head records, key stats, betting trends, predicted scorelines and other useful match information.

SportPremi Prediction
Prediction won · FT 3-1Pick
Over 1.5 Goals
Confidence
81%
Risk
Medium
Odds
1.23
Our statistical model identifies Over 1.5 Goals as the standout selection for Sporting CP vs Alverca, with our model rating the selection at 81% confidence.
Sporting CP form: Sporting CP come in with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from their last 5 matches, having scored 15 and conceded 6. They beat GIL Vicente 3-0, Rio Ave 4-1 and Guimaraes 5-1, drew 2-2 with Tondela, but lost 2-1 to Torreense. Those games have averaged 4.2 total goals per match.
Alverca form: Alverca come in with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from their last 5 matches, having scored 4 and conceded 4. They beat União de Leiria 1-0 and Arouca 2-1, drew 1-1 with Estoril, but lost 1-0 to Famalicao and 1-0 to FC Porto. Their matches have produced an average of 1.6 total goals per game.
Head-to-head: The head-to-head record reinforces the outlook. Their most recent meeting finished Alverca 1-4 Sporting CP, while across their last 3 meetings, Sporting CP have won 3.
Key numbers: Across their recent games the two sides average 4.2 and 1.6 total goals per match. Sporting CP have scored 15 goals and conceded 6 across their last 5 matches; Alverca have scored 4 and conceded 4 across their last 5.
Verdict: The recent form, goal averages and head-to-head results all point towards an open, goal-filled game. On balance, Over 1.5 Goals is the most convincing option here.
Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals at 81% confidence.
Prediction based on form, head-to-head and statistical analysis. It is not a guarantee.
Recent results and performance summary for both teams.
3
Sporting CP wins
0
Draws
0
Alverca wins
Last meeting: Alverca 1-4 Sporting CP · 2026
Betting outcomes from both teams’ last 5 matches.
Sporting CP
Last 5 MatchesAlverca
Last 5 Matches5/5 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals
(Matches with 2+ goals)
2/5 (40%)
4/5 (80%)
BTTS
Based on our statistical goal model.
Best Pick
Over 1.5 Goals
Model Confidence
81%
Sporting CP and Alverca have combined for 2.9 goals per game across their last five matches. 3 of their last 3 meetings produced at least two goals. Our model rates Over 1.5 Goals at 81% confidence. These numbers make Over 1.5 Goals our preferred selection.
Our recommended prediction is Over 1.5 Goals, which SportPremi's model rates at 81% confidence based on recent form and goal data, including head-to-head record.
Sporting CP have the stronger win case based on their recent results. They have won 3 of their last 5 matches, compared with 2 wins for Alverca. They have also won 3 of the last 3 meetings between the teams.
The match is scheduled to kick off at 20:30 on Saturday, 22 August 2026.
This fixture is played in the Primeira Liga, Portugal.
Prediction based on form, H2H and stats. Analysis, not a guarantee. 18+ | Gamble Responsibly.
Premier League
3
Wins
15
Goals Scored
6
Goals Conceded
Alverca
2
Wins
4
Goals Scored
4
Goals Conceded
(Both Teams To Score)
2/5 (40%)
4/5 (80%)
Failed to Keep Clean Sheet
(Conceded 1+ goal)
4/5 (80%)
3/5 (60%)
Wins
(Matches won)
2/5 (40%)
6
in last 5
Goals Conceded
(Total)
4
in last 5
What this means
Both Sporting CP and Alverca have struggled defensively, failing to keep a clean sheet in 4 and 4 of their last 5 matches respectively. Sporting CP have also seen Over 1.5 goals in all 5 of their last 5 matches.
Based on each team’s last 5 completed matches in all competitions.
Based on recent form, head-to-head and our statistical goal model.
Based on their last 5 matches, Sporting CP have the stronger record, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 15 and conceding 6. That compares with Alverca, who have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 4 and conceding 4.
No. Every tip is a statistics-based prediction to inform your own decision, not a guarantee. Always gamble responsibly. 18+
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