© 2026 SportPremi. Originally published at sportpremi.com/betting-tips/nec-nijmegen-vs-excelsior-prediction-2026-09-08. Data and analysis are owned by SportPremi.
© 2026 SportPremi. Originally published at sportpremi.com/betting-tips/nec-nijmegen-vs-excelsior-prediction-2026-09-08. Data and analysis are owned by SportPremi.
NEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior prediction and preview for Tuesday, 8 September 2026, in Eredivisie. NEC Nijmegen come into the match after a 3-1 defeat to Feyenoord, while Excelsior beat Willem II 3-0 in their last outing. Our analysis points to Over 1.5 Goals as the best prediction for this match. Below, you will find detailed match analysis, recent form, head-to-head records, key stats, betting trends and other useful match information.

SportPremi Prediction
Pick
Over 1.5 Goals
Confidence
90%
Risk
Low
Odds
1.11
Recent goal-scoring trends favour Over 1.5 Goals in NEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior at 90% confidence.
NEC Nijmegen form: NEC Nijmegen come in with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats from their last 5 matches, having scored 9 and conceded 11. They beat PEC Zwolle 3-1 and Willem II 4-1, but lost 3-1 to Feyenoord, 3-0 to Bodo/Glimt and 3-1 to Bodo/Glimt. That works out at an average of 4.0 total goals per game.
Excelsior form: Excelsior come in with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 matches, having scored 15 and conceded 4. They beat Willem II 3-0, Sparta Rotterdam 2-1, Cambuur 4-0 and De Graafschap 5-1, but lost 2-1 to PSV Eindhoven. Those games have averaged 3.8 total goals per match.
Head-to-head: The head-to-head record reinforces the outlook. Their most recent meeting finished Excelsior 0-2 NEC Nijmegen, while across the last 5 meetings, NEC Nijmegen have won 4 and Excelsior have won 1.
Key numbers: Across their recent games the two sides average 4.0 and 3.8 total goals per match. NEC Nijmegen have scored 9 goals and conceded 11 across their last 5 matches; Excelsior have scored 15 and conceded 4 across their last 5.
Verdict: Both teams have been involved in open, goal-heavy games lately, averaging 3.9 total goals between them, and neither defence has been keeping things tight. Those attacking and defensive patterns point to a goal-filled game, making Over 1.5 Goals the stronger call.
Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals at 90% confidence.
Prediction based on form, head-to-head and statistical analysis. It is not a guarantee.
Recent results and performance summary for both teams.
4
NEC Nijmegen wins
1
Draws
1
Excelsior wins
Last meeting: Excelsior 0-2 NEC Nijmegen · 2026
Betting outcomes from both teams’ last 5 matches.
NEC Nijmegen
Last 5 MatchesExcelsior
Last 5 Matches5/5 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals
(Matches with 2+ goals)
5/5 (100%)
4/5 (80%)
BTTS
Based on our statistical goal model.
Best Pick
Over 1.5 Goals
Model Confidence
90%
NEC Nijmegen and Excelsior have combined for 3.9 goals per game across their last five matches. 6 of their last 6 meetings produced at least two goals. Our analysis rates Over 1.5 Goals at 90% confidence. On balance, Over 1.5 Goals offers the strongest statistical value here.
Our recommended prediction is Over 1.5 Goals, which SportPremi's analysis rates at 90% confidence based on recent form and goal data, including head-to-head record.
Excelsior have the stronger win case based on their recent results. They have won 4 of their last 5 matches, compared with 2 wins for NEC Nijmegen.
The match is scheduled to kick off at 17:45 on Tuesday, 8 September 2026.
This fixture is played in Eredivisie, Netherlands.
Prediction based on form, H2H and stats. Analysis, not a guarantee. 18+ | Gamble Responsibly.
Premier League
2
Wins
9
Goals Scored
11
Goals Conceded
Excelsior
4
Wins
15
Goals Scored
4
Goals Conceded
(Both Teams To Score)
3/5 (60%)
5/5 (100%)
Failed to Keep Clean Sheet
(Conceded 1+ goal)
3/5 (60%)
2/5 (40%)
Wins
(Matches won)
4/5 (80%)
11
in last 5
Goals Conceded
(Total)
4
in last 5
What this means
Both NEC Nijmegen and Excelsior have seen Over 1.5 goals in most of their recent matches, with the trend showing in 5 and 5 of their last 5 games respectively. NEC Nijmegen have also failed to keep a clean sheet in all 5 of their last 5 matches.
Based on each team’s last 5 completed matches in all competitions.
Based on recent form, head-to-head and our statistical goal model.
Based on their last 5 matches, Excelsior have the stronger record, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 15 and conceding 4. That compares with NEC Nijmegen, who have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 11.
No. Every tip is a statistics-based prediction to inform your own decision, not a guarantee. Always gamble responsibly. 18+
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