© 2026 SportPremi. Originally published at sportpremi.com/betting-tips/vila-nova-vs-ponte-preta-prediction-2026-08-20. Data and analysis are owned by SportPremi.
© 2026 SportPremi. Originally published at sportpremi.com/betting-tips/vila-nova-vs-ponte-preta-prediction-2026-08-20. Data and analysis are owned by SportPremi.
Vila Nova vs Ponte Preta prediction and preview for Thursday, 20 August 2026, in the Serie B. Our analysis points to Under 3.5 Goals as the best prediction for this match. Below, you will find detailed match analysis, recent form, head-to-head records, key stats, betting trends, predicted scorelines and other useful match information.

SportPremi Prediction
Pick
Under 3.5 Goals
Confidence
73%
Risk
Medium
Odds
1.37
Vila Nova have kept 4 of their last 5 matches to 3 goals or fewer, while Ponte Preta have done so in all 5 of their last 5 matches. With the two sides averaging 2.5 total goals per game, the numbers lean towards Under 3.5 Goals, which our model rates at 73% confidence.
Vila Nova form: In their last 5 matches, Vila Nova have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, netting 7 and conceding 6. They beat Nautico Recife 4-3, Botafogo SP 1-0 and Londrina 1-0, but lost 2-1 to Novorizontino and 1-0 to Cuiaba. Those games have averaged 2.6 total goals per match.
Ponte Preta form: In their last 5 matches, Ponte Preta have 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats, netting 1 and conceding 11. They lost 2-0 to Fortaleza EC, 2-0 to Atletico Goianiense, 2-0 to Novorizontino, 3-0 to Juventude and 2-1 to Cuiaba. Their matches have produced an average of 2.4 total goals per game.
Head-to-head: The head-to-head record reinforces the outlook. Their most recent meeting finished Ponte Preta 0-1 Vila Nova, while across the last 5 meetings, Vila Nova have won 2, Ponte Preta have won 2 and 1 match ended in a draw.
Verdict: The recent form and goal averages point towards a controlled game with fewer goals. Overall, Under 3.5 Goals reads as the pick with the best statistical backing for this game.
Prediction: Under 3.5 Goals at 73% confidence.
Prediction based on form, head-to-head and statistical analysis. It is not a guarantee.
Recent results and performance summary for both teams.
2
Vila Nova wins
3
Draws
2
Ponte Preta wins
Last meeting: Ponte Preta 0-1 Vila Nova · 2026
Ponte Preta
Betting outcomes from both teams’ last 5 matches.
Vila Nova
Last 5 MatchesPonte Preta
Last 5 Matches2/5 (40%)
Over 1.5 Goals
(Matches with 2+ goals)
5/5 (100%)
2/5 (40%)
BTTS
Based on our statistical goal model.
Best Pick
Under 3.5 Goals
Model Confidence
73%
The two sides have combined for just 2.5 goals per game across their last five matches. Vila Nova have kept 2 clean sheets and Ponte Preta 0 in their last five matches. Our model rates Under 3.5 Goals at 73% confidence. This is our highest-confidence prediction for the fixture.
Our recommended prediction is Under 3.5 Goals, which SportPremi's model rates at 73% confidence based on recent form and goal data, including head-to-head record.
Vila Nova have the stronger win case based on their recent results. They have won 3 of their last 5 matches, compared with 0 wins for Ponte Preta.
The match is scheduled to kick off at 00:30 on Thursday, 20 August 2026.
This fixture is played in the Serie B, Brazil.
Prediction based on form, H2H and stats. Analysis, not a guarantee. 18+ | Gamble Responsibly.
Premier League
3
Wins
7
Goals Scored
6
Goals Conceded
Ponte Preta
0
Wins
1
Goals Scored
11
Goals Conceded
(Both Teams To Score)
1/5 (20%)
3/5 (60%)
Failed to Keep Clean Sheet
(Conceded 1+ goal)
5/5 (100%)
3/5 (60%)
Wins
(Matches won)
0/5 (0%)
6
in last 5
Goals Conceded
(Total)
11
in last 5
What this means
Ponte Preta have seen Over 1.5 goals in all 5 of their last 5 matches. Ponte Preta have also failed to keep a clean sheet in all 5 of their last 5 matches.
Based on each team’s last 5 completed matches in all competitions.
Based on recent form, head-to-head and our statistical goal model.
Based on their last 5 matches, Vila Nova have the stronger record, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 6. That compares with Ponte Preta, who have 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats, scoring 1 and conceding 11.
No. Every tip is a statistics-based prediction to inform your own decision, not a guarantee. Always gamble responsibly. 18+
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