© 2026 SportPremi. Originally published at sportpremi.com/betting-tips/vitoria-vs-gremio-prediction-2026-09-08. Data and analysis are owned by SportPremi.
© 2026 SportPremi. Originally published at sportpremi.com/betting-tips/vitoria-vs-gremio-prediction-2026-09-08. Data and analysis are owned by SportPremi.
Full time
Vitoria beat Gremio 1–0 in Serie A on Tuesday, 8 September 2026, and our Away/Draw (X2) prediction did not land. Below is the full match analysis, including the pre-match form, head-to-head record, key stats, betting trends and predicted scoreline.

SportPremi Prediction
Prediction lost · FT 1-0Pick
Away/Draw (X2)
Confidence
76%
Risk
Medium
Odds
1.32
Gremio have won 2 and drawn 1 of their last 5 matches, scoring 6 goals and conceding 6, which supports the Draw or Away (X2) selection at 76% confidence.
Vitoria form: In their last 5 matches, Vitoria have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats, netting 2 and conceding 7. They beat Botafogo 1-0, but lost 2-0 to Vasco DA Gama, 2-1 to Atletico-MG, 1-0 to Vasco DA Gama and 2-0 to Bahia. That works out at an average of 1.8 total goals per game.
Gremio form: Gremio have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 goals and conceding 6. They beat Internacional 3-1 and Chapecoense-sc 3-1, drew 0-0 with Internacional, but lost 1-0 to RB Bragantino and 3-0 to Atletico-MG. Those games have averaged 2.4 total goals per match.
Head-to-head: Previous encounters add further weight to the selection. Their most recent meeting finished Gremio 2-0 Vitoria, while across the last 5 meetings, Gremio have won 3 and 2 ended in draws.
Verdict: Gremio carry the stronger recent record into this game, with 2 wins from their last 5 to Vitoria's 1, while Vitoria arrive on the back of a heavy 2-0 defeat to Vasco DA Gama. Gremio have also been sharper in front of goal, scoring 6 to Vitoria's 2. That points the game away from a home win, making Draw or Away (X2) the stronger selection.
Prediction: Draw or Away (X2) at 76% confidence.
Prediction based on form, head-to-head and statistical analysis. It is not a guarantee.
Recent results and performance summary for both teams.
0
Vitoria wins
2
Draws
3
Gremio wins
Last meeting: Gremio 2-0 Vitoria · 2026
Betting outcomes from both teams’ last 5 matches.
Vitoria
Last 5 MatchesGremio
Last 5 Matches3/5 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals
(Matches with 2+ goals)
3/5 (60%)
1/5 (20%)
BTTS
Based on our statistical goal model.
Best Pick
Away/Draw (X2)
Model Confidence
76%
Gremio arrive with 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Vitoria have taken 1 win from their last 5. Our analysis rates Draw or Away (X2) at 76% confidence. This is our highest-confidence prediction for the fixture.
Our recommended prediction is Draw or Away (X2), which SportPremi's analysis rates at 76% confidence based on recent form and goal data, including head-to-head record.
Gremio have the stronger win case based on their recent results. They have won 2 of their last 5 matches, compared with 1 win for Vitoria. They have also won 3 of the last 5 meetings between the teams.
The match is scheduled to kick off at 00:00 on Tuesday, 8 September 2026.
This fixture is played in Serie A, Brazil.
Prediction based on form, H2H and stats. Analysis, not a guarantee. 18+ | Gamble Responsibly.
Premier League
1
Wins
2
Goals Scored
7
Goals Conceded
(Both Teams To Score)
2/5 (40%)
4/5 (80%)
Failed to Keep Clean Sheet
(Conceded 1+ goal)
4/5 (80%)
1/5 (20%)
Wins
(Matches won)
2/5 (40%)
7
in last 5
Goals Conceded
(Total)
6
in last 5
What this means
Both Vitoria and Gremio have struggled defensively, failing to keep a clean sheet in 4 and 4 of their last 5 matches respectively.
Based on each team’s last 5 completed matches in all competitions.
Based on recent form, head-to-head and our statistical goal model.
Based on their last 5 matches, Gremio have the stronger record, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 6 and conceding 6. That compares with Vitoria, who have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats, scoring 2 and conceding 7.
No. Every tip is a statistics-based prediction to inform your own decision, not a guarantee. Always gamble responsibly. 18+
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